Home Writing Projects Lab CV

Simulating futures
to build the one we want.

I build open-source software that computes what the law says, measures what it does, and projects what happens next.

Max Ghenis CEO, The Axiom Foundation & PolicyEngine · Washington, DC
Rules what the law says — exact, cited, computable
Impacts what it does — for any household, for whole populations
Projections what happens next — modeled openly, revised as law changes
Work
All projects →
Writing
A year of ChatGPT is a fifth of a beer I built an interactive that prices drinks in AI queries — and lets you flip every assumption that makes published AI water numbers differ by 100x. MacKenzie Scott's giving, in QALYs An interactive cost-effectiveness model for MacKenzie Scott's $26B in philanthropy — and the AI prompts that built it. The US government is gutting Anthropic's R&D capacity A Commerce export control pulled Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on Friday. It's cutting roughly a third of Anthropic's own researchers off from the frontier models they build, while every competitor's keep theirs. How to turn money into predictions A menu of mechanisms for organizations that want to fund forecasts on policy, economic, and AI outcomes.
All writing →
Research
Enhancing survey microdata with administrative records Microsimulation dataset construction. Presented at NTA 2024. What can LLMs tell us about the ETI? With Jason DeBacker. How language models perceive behavioral responses to tax policy.
All research →